Timeline Risk Score Component

0-15 points based on how much the P90 scenario erodes your returns.

Definition

Measures the delta between target and P90 carry costs. A deal where P90 barely hurts scores high. A deal where P90 doubles your carry cost scores low.

Formula

Score = max(0, 15 − (carry_delta% × 30))

How Kaison Uses This

Weight: 15% of total BRRRR score.

Example

P90 carry is 40% higher than target → 15 − (0.40 × 30) = 3 pts

Pro Tip

High scope confidence and short timelines compress the P90 delta and boost this score.

Related Terms

P90 Stress Test

Adverse scenario: 90th percentile timeline + cost overruns based on your confidence level.

Market Absorption Score Component

0-15 points based on average days on market — fast markets score higher.

Educational content only. Consult a CPA or attorney for advice specific to your situation.